Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TON11419 prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-03 2.257370 2.578632 2.930249 3.343805 3.817131 4.342231 4.969373
2025-08-10 1.727681 2.153453 2.662028 3.314989 4.132315 5.123242 6.418529
2025-08-17 1.423210 1.882819 2.465618 3.260271 4.318163 5.681797 7.579291
2025-08-24 1.254650 1.742816 2.392909 3.324266 4.628709 6.397395 8.989326
2025-08-31 1.122236 1.626029 2.325977 3.372706 4.904821 7.075686 10.403999
2025-09-07 0.997430 1.500406 2.226070 3.353558 5.070148 7.600041 11.639073
2025-09-14 0.884729 1.376921 2.111754 3.293900 5.159417 8.009291 12.730694
2025-09-21 0.797688 1.281138 2.026151 3.263957 5.283425 8.473162 13.942886
2025-09-28 0.719578 1.190027 1.936707 3.215166 5.366807 8.872994 15.082542
2025-10-05 0.705309 1.200014 2.007983 3.432402 5.903272 10.053823 17.639585
2025-10-12 0.656887 1.147437 1.970175 3.460549 6.119555 10.714257 19.361905
2025-10-19 0.628251 1.125542 1.981154 3.572152 6.488690 11.667855 21.696031
2025-10-26 0.576337 1.061572 1.920149 3.563173 6.666195 12.344533 23.688453
2025-11-02 0.525520 0.995083 1.849439 3.531932 6.805534 12.978725 25.703709
2025-11-09 0.477461 0.928071 1.769932 3.473577 6.883532 13.500401 27.553484
2025-11-16 0.450562 0.898465 1.757184 3.541850 7.214397 14.543401 30.572096
2025-11-23 0.424372 0.867249 1.737662 3.593529 7.515820 15.557367 33.648797
2025-11-30 0.393090 0.822294 1.686008 3.573100 7.664228 16.271068 36.165341
2025-12-07 0.360738 0.771674 1.617554 3.509453 7.712465 16.776512 38.280104
2025-12-14 0.334581 0.731450 1.566572 3.477507 7.825209 17.430841 40.806573
2025-12-21 0.309190 0.690266 1.509382 3.425455 7.886476 17.975892 43.141818
2025-12-28 0.309005 0.704973 1.575021 3.657219 8.622201 20.127436 49.569271
2026-01-04 0.292942 0.681952 1.554400 3.687251 8.887656 21.214884 53.524891